The new map of strategic dependencies
How raw materials, supply networks and technology competition are redefining where global enterprises remain exposed.
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Global strategic intelligence
Integrate global signals, scenarios and intelligence to support strategic decisions across markets and industries.
Discover the macroEditorial overview
Articles
Building an early-warning system for global volatility
How companies can connect macroeconomic, geopolitical and market signals to identify emerging shocks before they reshape enterprise decisions.
Read articleFocus
Market access increasingly depends on political permission as well as demand
Sanctions, export controls and investment restrictions can alter customers, suppliers and technology access with little warning.
Energy and commodity intelligence matters where price and supply shocks reshape economics
Markets can shift quickly through conflict, policy, weather, logistics and production decisions across concentrated supply systems.
Strategic challenges
Where could technology rivalry constrain enterprise strategy or market access?
The challenge is identifying where policy, standards and ecosystem fragmentation could alter sourcing, investment or product choices.
Which futures would force the enterprise to make different strategic choices?
The challenge is building scenarios distinct enough to test decisions without turning uncertainty into speculative storytelling.
POV
Price volatility is a symptom; structural dependence is the deeper risk
Enterprise decisions should account for supply architecture and substitutability, not only current commodity prices.
A macro forecast has little value if the enterprise cannot explain its sensitivity
The strategic question is not where the economy moves, but which business assumptions break when it does.
Strategic impact
Transmission analysis reveals how external shocks can cascade into the enterprise
Mapping channels across trade, finance and supply networks helps management identify indirect exposure and potential amplification.
Technology intelligence clarifies how global rivalry may reshape competitive conditions
Tracking policy, ecosystems and standards helps management assess where technology access or market structures may diverge.
What we observe
Warning systems often collect signals without defining what should trigger action
Large indicator sets create little advantage when thresholds, ownership and decision responses remain unspecified.
Companies often treat industrial policy as a funding opportunity rather than a market force
Subsidies can change capacity, pricing and competition even for businesses that never receive direct government support.